2022 Emmys Supporting Actor Drama Predictions

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official awards predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis; Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders by television editor Michael Schneider (for Emmys) and Davis (for Oscars); Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly interview series with talent and an expert roundtable discussion; and Awards Circuit Video analyzes various categories and contenders by Variety's leading awards pundits. Variety's unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online, as well as provide inside reports on all the contenders in this year's awards season races.

To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit THE EMMYS COLLECTIVE
Visit each category, per the individual awards show from THE EMMYS HUB
To see old predictions and commentary, click the EMMY PREDICTIONS ARCHIVES
For film awards predictions go toTHE OSCARS HUB

UPDATED: April 28, 2022

2022 EMMYS PREDICTIONS:
OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES

AWARDS PREDICTION COMMENTARY:

Multiple actors from HBO’s “Succession” are favored in this category to snag the very likelihood of eight available spots. Kieran Culkin and Matthew Macfadyen seem to be leading with the buzz for their performances during the third season while Nicholas Braun and Alan Ruck are fan favorites, heavily in the discussion. After “Succession” took all five directing spots at the DGA Awards, could they take half the spots in this race?

Multiple actors from the same television series seem to be the theme this awards season with “Better Call Saul” (Jonathan Banks, Giancarlo Esposito and Michael Mando), “The Morning Show” (Billy Crudup and Steve Carell), “Severance” (John Turturro and Christopher Walken) and others.

This is not the full list of submitted contenders, additions will be added every Thursday.

Read more: Variety’s Awards Circuit Emmys Predictions Hub

The Emmy eligibility period runs from June 1, 2021, to May 31, 2022. The deadline for entering programs for Primetime programming and uploading all entry materials is on May 12, 2022, at 6:00 PM PT.

The nomination round of voting runs from June 16 to June 27. The official nominations for the 74th Emmy Awards will be announced Tuesday, July 12.

The list of programs and potential nominees listed below is incomplete and is subject to change. The full television awards season calendar is linked here.

2021 category winner: Tobias Menzies, “The Crown” (Netflix)


ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

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Apple TV Plus
Apple TV Plus

AND THE PREDICTED NOMINEES ARE:
RANK CONTENDER SERIES NETWORK
1 Kieran Culkin “Succession” HBO/HBO Max
2 Billy Crudup “The Morning Show” Apple TV+
3 Jonathan Banks “Better Call Saul” AMC
4 Matthew Macfadyen “Succession” HBO/HBO Max
5 Oh Yeong-soo Squid Game Netflix
6 John Turturro “Severance” Apple TV+
7 Giancarlo Esposito “Better Call Saul” AMC
8 Gil Birmingham Yellowstone Paramount Network
NEXT IN LINE
9 Alan Ruck “Succession” HBO/HBO Max
10 Nicholas Braun “Succession” HBO/HBO Max
OTHER TOP-TIER CONTENDERS
11 Eric Dane “Euphoria” HBO/HBO Max
12 David Harbor “Stranger Things” Netflix
13 Christopher Walken “Severance” Apple TV+
14 Chris Sullivan “This Is Us” NBC
15 Steve Carell “The Morning Show” Apple TV+
16 Mark Duplass “The Morning Show” Apple TV+
17 Tramell Tillman “Severance” Apple TV+
18 Bill Camp “American Rust” Showtime
19 Bill Nighy “The Man Who Fell to Earth” Showtime
20 Mandy Patinkin “The Good Fight” Paramount+
ALSO IN CONTENTION
21 Park Hae-Soo Squid Game Netflix
22 Owen Wilson “Loki” Disney+
23 Michael Mando “Better Call Saul” AMC
24 Clancy Brown “Dexter: New Blood” Showtime
25 Jack Alcott “Dexter: New Blood” Showtime
26 Joe Keery “Stranger Things” Netflix
27 Edward James Olmos “Mayans MC” FX
28 Adrien Brody “Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” HBO/HBO Max
29 Asante Blackk “This Is Us” NBC
30 Hayden Christiansen “Obi-Wan Kenobi” Disney+
UNRANKED CONTENDERS
Adrian Holmes Bel-Air Peacock
Alano Miller “Dexter: New Blood” Showtime
Alfonso Herrera Ozark Netflix
Anupam Tripathi Squid Game Netflix
Asia Kate Dillon “Billions” Showtime
Calam Lynch “Bridgerton” Netflix
Caleb McLaughlin “Stranger Things” Netflix
Charlie Heaton “Stranger Things” Netflix
Clarke Peters “The Man Who Fell to Earth” Showtime
Dave Bautista “See” Apple TV+
David Alvarez “American Rust” Showtime
Devon Sawa “Chucky” Syfy
Felix Solis Ozark Netflix
Finn Wolfhard “Stranger Things” Netflix
Gaten Matarazzo “Stranger Things” Netflix
Giancarlo Esposito “Godfather of Harlem” Epix
Griffin Dunne “This Is Us” NBC
Jamie Bell “Shining Girls” Apple TV+
Jamie Campbell Bower “Stranger Things” Netflix
Jason Clarke “Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” HBO/HBO Max
Jason Segel “Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” HBO/HBO Max
Jimmi Simpson “The Man Who Fell to Earth” Showtime
Jimmi Simpson “Pachinko” Apple TV+
Joel Edgerton “Obi-Wan Kenobi” Disney+
Jonathan Pryce “Slow Horses” Apple TV+
Joseph Quinn “Stranger Things” Netflix
Kumail Nanjiani “Obi-Wan Kenobi” Disney+
Luke Newton “Bridgerton” Netflix
Luke Thompson “Bridgerton” Netflix
Martins Imhangbe “Bridgerton” Netflix
Matthew Modine “Stranger Things” Netflix
Mustafa Shakir “Cowboy Bebop” Netflix
Noah Schnapp “Stranger Things” Netflix
Olly Sholotan Bel-Air Peacock
Quincy Isaiah “Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” HBO/HBO Max
Richard Rankin Outlander Starz
Richard Schiff “The Good Doctor” ABC
Richard Thomas Ozark Netflix
Rob Delaney “The Man Who Fell to Earth” Showtime
Rupert Grint “Servant” Apple TV+
Rupert Young “Bridgerton” Netflix
Taylor Handley “Mayor of Kingstown” Paramount+
Tom Pelphrey Outer Range Amazon Prime Video
Travis Fimmel “Raised by Wolves” HBO/HBO Max
Will Patton Outer Range Amazon Prime Video
Zach Cherry “Severance” Apple TV+

AWARDS CATEGORY HISTORY (Supporting Actor Drama)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known simply as the Emmys, is television’s most prestigious artistic award. There are many records held for both wins and nominations in the near eight decades.

For wins: Peter Dinklage is the most awarded actor in this category, with four individual wins for his turn as Tyrion Lannister on HBO’s “Game of Thrones.” Art Carney, Don Knotts and Aaron Paul are the second most awarded with three wins each. “Game of Thrones,” “LA Law” and “The West Wing” each have four wins for its actors in this category over its runs, the most of any television series.

For nominations: Peter Dinklage is the most nominated person in this category with eight nominations, all for each season of “Game of Thrones.” Five actors are tied behind him with six nominations: Jonathan Banks, Ed Begley Jr, Will Geer, Jimmy Smits, and Bruce Weitz. Banks and Begley Jr are the only two to have not won yet in any Primetime Emmy category.

“Hill Street Blues” is the series that has received the most nominations in this category over its run, with 16 nominations with “LA Law” and “The West Wing” close behind with 15 and 14 nods, respectively.


2022 Primetime Emmy Awards Predictions

2022 Creative Arts Emmys Predictions

  • Outstanding Television Movie
  • Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series
  • Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series
  • Outstanding Guest Actor in a Comedy Series
  • Outstanding Guest Actress in a Comedy Series
  • Outstanding Reality Host
  • Outstanding Directing for a Variety Series
  • Outstanding Writing for a Variety Series
  • Outstanding Directing for a Variety Special
  • Outstanding Writing for a Variety Special
  • Outstanding Animated Program
  • Outstanding Short Form Animated Program
  • Outstanding Voice-Over Performance
  • Outstanding Narrator
  • Outstanding Structured Program
  • Outstanding Unstructured Program
  • Outstanding Documentary or Nonfiction Series
  • Outstanding Documentary Special
  • Outstanding Documentary Filmmaking
  • Outstanding Hosted Nonfiction Series or Special
  • Outstanding Main Title Design
  • Outstanding Main Title Theme Music
  • Outstanding Music for Series
  • Outstanding Music for Limited Series
  • Outstanding Music and Lyrics
  • Outstanding Music Supervision

About the Primetime Emmy Awards (Emmys)

The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors and various artisans and executives.

  • The 74th Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, Sept. 12, and air on NBC.

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